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Canes Country Clash: Northeast Division Predictions, 2009-10

Bob and I are at it again, this time handicapping the Northeast, home of the reigning Eastern Conference No. 1 seed Boston BruinsLast year I was widely mocked for picking the Bruins ahead of the mighty Canadiens. We know how that went. 

Bob and I both see the top two the same, but we disagree on the bottom three. Here goes.

You can also read our predictions for the Southeast and Atlantic divisions.

Star-divide

Bob's Take:

1.  Boston
2.  Buffalo
3.  Toronto
4.  Montreal
5.  Ottawa

After Boston, the talent in the "Northleast" drops off considerably.  But will more than one team make the playoffs?  I think so.

The Boston Bruins will win this division easily once again.  There is simply no one else who can challenge them.  But when you are not challenged within your own division and have too easy of a time, what happens when you reach the playoffs?  (see last year)  The boys from Beantown lost Phil Kessel and Aaron Ward, but they added Derek Morris and get back Marco Sturm, who was injured most of last season.  Is Morris an upgrade over Ward?  That is arguable.  Sturm is a very good player, but he always seems to be hurt.  While these guys will win the division without much trouble, I don't see them advancing far in the postseason.

Buffalo has it's share of weaknesses, but they should be better than their Canadian neighbors.  Ryan Miller is always tough and these guys probably would have made the playoffs last year if he didn't get injured.  They lost one of their best defensemen in Jaroslav Spacek, but Steve Montador is a nice plug in.  Mike Grier was also added and he brings some much needed grit, so this team might be a bit better than they were last year.  They should make it to the postseason, but they can not match up with the Bruins.

My surprise pick for third is Toronto, and I'll even predict that they will be fighting for a playoff spot right up until the end.  Luke Schenn is just going to get better and better.  They over-paid for Mike Komisarik, but he's a good addition, and the rest of their defense looks serviceable.  Lee Stempniak, Matt Stajan, and Mikhail Grabovski are under-rated forwards.  A lot will depend upon the goaltending and Vesa Toskala is very inconsistent, but will "The Monster", Jonas Gustavsson have a monster year?  Stranger things have happened.

Will newcomers Scott Gomez, Brian Gionta, and Mike Cammalleri revitalize the Montreal Canadiens?  I wouldn't count on it. This team's roster does not impress and I don't see playoffs in their immediate future.  Carey Price has not proven himself as a winner and can't even consistently out-play counterpart Jaroslav Halak.  The defense doesn't scare anyone. The big question is, will anyone in Montreal care?  They seem more concerned that very few players on the team speak French.  Fans will soon learn that even though coach Jacques Martin does speak French, that doesn't necessarily make him a good coach.     

Ottawa improved their play a lot last year when it was too late to matter.  Will they be able to continue their improved performance when it counts?  I doubt it.  Don't get me wrong, there is still some skill and talent on their roster, but they seem dysfunctional.  Jason Spezza and Daniel Alfredsson are very good players, but there is a drop off after that. And there is no guarantee that newcomers, Jonathan Cheechoo and Milan Michalek will find their scoring grooves.  After Anton Volchenkov, the defense looks weak.  The goaltending might be okay, but I look at the roster and I see last place.

* * *

Cory's Take:

1. Boston
2. Buffalo
3. Montreal
4. Ottawa
5. Toronto

This is clearly a division in rough shape. While the Maple Leafs have made some in-roads under the guidance of GM Brian Burke, the rest of the division seems to have taken a step back in talent.

The Bruins should have an easy time repeating in the Northeast. While they lose Kessel, they get back Sturm — an always-underrated player. Like Bob mentioned, Morris instead of Ward is a lateral move, though definitely a difference in philosophy for that role. Still, I expect them to have a solid season, just maybe not as good as 2008-09.

The Sabres, like a lot of the NHL, are looking to get bigger and tougher. Keeping 6-8 defensive prospect Tyler Myers with the Sabres would help, even if it came with some growing pains. By all accounts, he'll be starting the season with Buffalo. They still have Miller between the pipes, but will miss Teppo Numminen as a steadying force in their own end. I expect them to fall short of the postseason, putting Darcy Regier and Lindy Ruff further on the hot seat.

In Montreal, we're going to call this the Bob Gainey farewell cruise. His curious offseason moves, coupled with new ownership — even though they, like Gainey, have lifelong ties to the Habs — could mean the end for the GM if they falter. While other teams have gotten tougher, Gainey has assembled a top line of Gomez-Cammalleri-Gionta. Good luck with that. Oh, and we all know I'm no Carey Price fan.

The Senators lost their best scorer in Dany Heatley and handed the goaltending keys to erratic Pascal Leclaire, who is either playing superbly, terribly or not playing because he's hurt. Michalek is a nice addition and Cheechoo, if on a line with Spezza, can still finish, but there's not a lot to be excited about. Brian Murray — along with Gainey and Regier — could be looking for work if things don't come together.

Along with Boston's Peter Chiarelli, Brian Burke is the only GM on stable ground in the Northeast. He's already put his stamp on the Leafs by injecting a lot of grit to the lineup, plus he acquired Kessel from the B's. But there are still tons of holes and more changes to be made. I expect them to keep up with Montreal and Ottawa, but wind up last and a-ways from the playoff hunt.
Poll
Who will win the Northeast Division this year?
Boston Bruins
114 votes
Buffalo Sabres
6 votes
Montreal Canadiens
12 votes
Ottawa Senators
2 votes
Toronto Maple Leafs
8 votes

142 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 24 comments |

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East Coast Bias

Jun 2009 from Blueshirt Banter - 12 comments

Comments

Display:

Cory – I loved reading that Oct ’08 piece. You really do have a clairvoyance gene. You nailed, dead-on.

Let's go Canes!
Hakkaa Paalle!

by hockeymomof2 on Oct 1, 2009 8:21 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, dead on

Let’s see, there was the “not drinking the blue blanc and rouge kool-aid” and the note about Chara winning the Norris. Not too shabby.

Embrace big ideas!

by C-Leaguer on Oct 1, 2009 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m feeling less and less confident about my draft last night now. I’m glad I didn’t read this until this morning.

Embrace big ideas!

by C-Leaguer on Oct 1, 2009 10:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

My Pick

I had to take the Canadiens because I believe that the Bruins lost too much in the off-season and Thomas won’t have as good of a year as last year. I think Buffalo will disappoint once again. :) The Sens will be fairly weak and I would have to go with Toronto as my sleeper pick here. They could be a little bit of a surprise…

by DomBooneCaniac on Oct 1, 2009 8:24 AM EDT reply actions  

If the Canes' had a post season like the Habs,

there’d be a funeral for a “failed hockey team in a non-hockey market” by every major sports outlet.

I’d pick the Boys from Bean town over any of their fellow inmates in the asylum known as the NE Division.

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 1, 2009 8:28 AM EDT reply actions  

No move of Coyotes to NE territory:
Balsillie ends bid

by Andrea's evil twin on Oct 1, 2009 8:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Too bad for him.

Putting a team in Hamilton with the Sabres and Leafs so close by will only hurt one of them.

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 1, 2009 9:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

The ruling put a complete end to Basille’s attempts to move the team without League approval. His claims were dismissed with prejudice and on top of that the Judge found that the NHL’s rules are valid and pro-competitive. I don’t know that this is the end, but it does mean that if Basille does want to move the Coyotes to Hamilton, which could happen after this season still, he’s going to have to work with the NHL to do it.

Embrace big ideas!

by C-Leaguer on Oct 1, 2009 9:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

good luck today, Andrea!

Let's go Canes!
Hakkaa Paalle!

by hockeymomof2 on Oct 1, 2009 10:26 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Damn

I forgot. Good luck on your defense.

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 1, 2009 10:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

Okay lady, spill it

how did it go?

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 2, 2009 9:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

Ditto

Give ’em hell and get some letters after your name…

Don’t forget us little folks though!!

A

by Paladin6 on Oct 1, 2009 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

This division is all Boston's to lose

Buffalo will be a borderline playoff team again.
the Hab’s… I have no freaking clue what they are going to do this year. I feel they could make the playoffs, but doubt they will.

by packpigskinfan25 on Oct 1, 2009 9:44 AM EDT reply actions  

I truly believe Boston will make the playoffs. After that, not so much. I was disappointed when Florida collapsed and let Montreal in the playoffs last year. A good laugh for all SE fans this year.

by drifterscape on Oct 1, 2009 10:23 AM EDT reply actions  

I really thought Florida was finally going to put it together at the end of last season and finally realize their potential. They’ve got a good group down there, but no real game breakers.

Embrace big ideas!

by C-Leaguer on Oct 1, 2009 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Booth is the definition of a game breaker … one of my favorites to watch. The main problem, IMO, is Horton is a chronic underachiever. They need a big body that can be a consistent offensive threat.

by Cory Lavalette on Oct 1, 2009 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Amen on Booth, Cory. He can single handidly (wd?) turn a game. That’s impressive by any standard.

A

by Paladin6 on Oct 1, 2009 1:07 PM EDT reply actions  

WTF?

http://www.sportingnews.com/nhl/article/2009-09-29/penguins-bruins-flyers-should-feast-east

As much as I like the underdog status, there are still times I think many in the press have a serious case of cranial/rectal inversion.

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 1, 2009 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

Craigs either an idiot or a poor writer and I didn’t understand his points. Atl. still isn’t gonna have PO win at the end of this year. To even think they ahve a shot is optomism on a grand scale indeed. I noticed he mentions 9 teams? I will agree with his locks. Pitt, Phil, Boston and the Craps are all probably going to the second season. I think we have as good a chance as anybody so with that there are only 3 spots left….

It’s gonna be a tight year and I think the points to get in will be about where they were last year, say 94 or so to get in. I think Fla. had 93 and lost out on a tie breaker gig.

Starts tonight, looking forward to the Habs and Leafs, either of them could be much better or just suck, I wanna know!!

A

by Paladin6 on Oct 1, 2009 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m going with his an idiot.

by canescup on Oct 1, 2009 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ready to bust out:

Ray Emery?

WTF? He sure has waited awhile to bust out.

by Iggy Reilly on Oct 1, 2009 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

hehe

why can “Ward only carry a team so far” and guys like Emery will “have a breakout year and lead his team”?

Is this classic “both sides of the mouth” or "which end i

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 2, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

?????

the last line should read:

Is this classic "both sides of the mouth" or "which end is he speaking out of?

A conservative is someone who wants to get rid of all illegal immigrants,
Just as soon as those guys finish mowing his yard and building the shed

by lcd2you on Oct 2, 2009 10:50 AM EDT reply actions  

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# Pos. DOB W H
Brett Carson 27 D 11/29/1985 210 6-4
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