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Scenarios for how Mo could Go, and why none of them would work.


After last night's shoot out loss, a lot of folks here at Canes Country are left scratching their heads at the coaching staff.  The decision to go with Captain Rod Brindamour in the 3 spot last night has been widely discussed, criticized, and even defended by some.  Beyond that decision , however, there seems to be a lot of similarities between this team and other teams Maurice has unsuccesfully coached.  The way the team plays to hold on to a lead or tie, instead of building on it, the lack of offensive creativity or rush, and let's not forget that Power Play impotence was a hallmark of ealier Mo coached Canes squads. 

 

If the problem is largely behind the bench, though, how do we fix it, considering the fact we have a 3 year commitment to him, and still have Laviolette under contract as well.  After the jump we will look at 3 possible solutions for "Life without Mo," and why all of them leave us in a bad situation.

Star-divide

1.   Go with one of our other coaches ( Francis, Daniels, Rowe, or McCarthy)

 

The obvious advantage to this scenario is that we would get a new Head Coach, without increasing our payroll.  Obviously this team is spending more money than ever, for very little return at this time.  This makes the cheapness of a replacement a top priority.  The first major flaw with this plan comes in the form or experience, or lack there of.   Between the the 4 of them, they have exactly 0 games of head coaching experience in the NHL. Mcarthy and Rowe have the most experience as AHL coaches, with stints in Hershey, Springfield,  and New Haven for Mcarthy and Lowell and Albany for Tom Rowe. Jeff Daniels, is in only his second full year as head coach of Albany and Francis has yet to head coach in any professional league.  Also of note, none have been head coach for a championship team in the minors (though a  nod to McCarthy's Calder Cup win as a Player-Assistant in 88 w/ Hershey).

Though some first time head coaches do wonderful things out of the gate, this is a team that is in need of an experienced steady hand. You have obvious locker chemistry issues between vets and younger players ( alluded to by Maurice himself in an press conference earlier this year), your chief point getters are in slumps,  Marquee players are injured, and the team is mired in one of it's worst starts ever.  This is not the scenario you want a first time coach coming into.  While I feel this is the most likely of the options I offer in this post ( and all of the options are long long odds at best), the lack of head coaching experience makes none of these folks qualified to take the reigns at this point in time.

 

2.  Crank up the revolving door, introducing Lavilette 2.0!

 

I know Paladin just crapped his pants reading the statement above, but hear me out before you click to the next fan post.  Laviolette is under contract with us, and therefore would not require an additional payroll commitment.  As mentioned in option one, this is a must.  Additionally, his coaching style directly addresses a lot of what ails this team now.  He knows how to implement a system that has and  emphasis with keeping the foot on the gas pedal.  He is good at building team chemistry and has experience in dealing with locker room rifts ( see K. Adams Hedican).   However, things start to fall apart from there.   He is a coach that like to do his thing, free and clear of front office influence.  Compound that with the fact that this teams front office has already thrown this man under so many buses, he has a future in auto repair!  There are some who also believe that he "lost the room" towards the end of his stint with our club.   That is debatable, but still areal possibility.  It would do us no good to replace one coach no one is listening to with another.  The biggest obstacle, however, is Laviolette's desire to come back to a team that just last year blasted him publicly.    For this reason, more than any other, I feel this is the longest odds solution.

 

3.   Let's pull a Luo, Head Coach and GM Jim Rutherford.

 

Of all the scenarios this makes the least sense and could prove to be the most detrimental to our club.  This also makes it the most likely to occur ( sarcasm....sort of).

In this scenario you have a pretty astute hockey mind (though that has been recently called into question) calling the shots for this club.  The advantage to this is that you have the system/style that the front office has been trying to instill by proxy, being applied first hand.  However, the advantages end there.  In the past other franchises have tried this trick (Florida, Atlanta, and New Jersey all within the last 4 seasons) and none have fared that well as a result.  Additionally,  JR's only coaching credential are at the OHL level and that was over 15 years ago.  The game is much different at the NHL level than at the OHL level, and even then, the game has changed drastically in all of these years.

 

4.  Bargain Bin Bench Bosses.

 

In this final scenario, we look for our savior in the trash heap.   Finding a coach like  a Nolan, Carboneau, or Therien who are on the outside looking in, we might ( biiiiig might) get away with a low dollar short term commitment.   I can not offer pro's and Cons, as just the three guys I mentioned above bring very different good and bad qualities to the table.  However, convincing any of these experienced castoffs to sign in for cheap and short term would be challenging.  At any rate, I think the better of these coaches will hold out for better offers, and the ones who would jump at the chance, bring to much of their own baggage to a locker room full of it. 

 

So is there another solution?   Can we find a way for Mo To Go?  I'm all ears.

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Don't understand why we have to pay him if we fire him

PResumably there is something in his contract requiring him to perform at something approaching a professional level. He clearly isn’t.

by DidJussiThat? on Nov 18, 2009 4:02 PM EST reply actions  

You just made the Al Davis Argument.

Didn’t keep him from having to pay Lane Kiffin, made him look like even more of a jackass (no matter how right he may or may not have been about Kiffin), made it even harder for the Raiders to hire a competent head coach.

That 17-year-old Hokie sitting in the rafters in Greensboro didn't see any of this coming.

by JoshCVT on Nov 18, 2009 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Its all about the guaranteed contract. There is no wins/losses clause that allows us an out on our obligation to pay him.

by wylde4canes on Nov 18, 2009 8:33 PM EST reply actions  

Firing Mo 20 games into the season is ridiculous. Yeah, there are areas where this team should be better, but remember that JR built the 2010 Canes. Injuries have had an enormous impact on their performance, and, to be honest, a 14 game losing streak involves a lot of bad luck.
Seriously, find another topic. I’m not even going to refute your scenarios because your premise is wrong to begin with.
Did JR put this team together to get to the playoffs and compete against more skilled offensive teams? Yes.
Are the Canes likely to miss the playoffs? Yes, barring a stunning set of circumstances.
Do the 14 coaches that don’t make the playoffs get fired every year? No.
If your new bride of 6 months burns a dinner do you get a divorce? No.
Have some perspective and look at the bigger picture. Last year’s run to the conference finals included some amazing events…the tremendous run in the spring, Jussi’s goal with .2 seconds, 2 goals in the last minutes against Boston, winning TWO game sevens on the road in the playoffs. All statistics tend to revert to the mean, and the Canes are leveling their karma from last year. In 2010, salaries will be shed, Rats will be promoted, and this team will be a lot different. Our best hope for 09 is to play hard and develop some chemistry for next year.

by Gillimus on Nov 18, 2009 8:40 PM EST reply actions  

Firing MO 20 games into the season is nowhere near as ridiculous as bring him back in the first place.

Look maybe you weren’t around for the first run with Mo, but I remember those years. Outside of the lightning in a bottle cup run year, things were bad. And they look alot like that around here now. My biggest fear is how he will handle next year, not this year. The man is not good with young players.

BTW Karma is bull**** if there was Karma, then Orpik’s name would never have been on the Cup.

by wylde4canes on Nov 18, 2009 9:02 PM EST up reply actions  

btw that came off as way too agressive, sorry about that. The Mo re-hire shook me all the way to the level of my loyalty to this team. I really thought then, as I do now, it was a move in the wrong direction. Sorry if I let me emotional attachment to the subject at hand make me come off like a jerk!

by wylde4canes on Nov 18, 2009 9:14 PM EST up reply actions  

You’re not a jerk if you’re passionate, and let me apologize if I sounded like I was ridiculing your post. I think all the Canes fans can agree that this season has been disappointing and frustrating and we wish we knew the solution.

by Gillimus on Nov 19, 2009 8:18 AM EST up reply actions  

No, I thought you were making a fair counter point. I like the exchange, sometimes I just dig in to my position a little too deep if you get my drift.

by wylde4canes on Nov 19, 2009 8:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Agreed. Remember our power play during the initial Maurice years? Lousy, to see the least (although, I always thought Sami was dangerous). I often wished that Maurice would “waive” the advantage, because we seemed to play better 5-on-5. Ugh. Bad memories.

by akukorow on Nov 18, 2009 10:57 PM EST up reply actions  

If your new bride of 6 months burns a dinner do you get a divorce? No.

I do if I was already married to her once for 10 years, we already got divorced once before, we hooked up in Vegas in a drunken stupor and gort remarried and I was tired of her cooking to begin with.

by DidJussiThat? on Nov 18, 2009 8:46 PM EST reply actions  

okay, so the new bride analogy was weak :)

by Gillimus on Nov 18, 2009 8:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Building for Next Year

Listening to Jim Rutherford’s interview at 99.9, it seems clear to me that Jim Rutherford is taking the long view. He appeared to me to be saying that he hoped the 2009 Hurricane team would find its identity as a hard-working, fore-checking team, that battles in the corners and in front of the net and works its way back into the playoff picture; but whatever happens, he is not going to dismantle the best parts of the team. He mentioned that when the season started he felt this year’s team would make a good run into the playoffs and next year he would transition to younger players from Albany. Now he is committed to making those changes to a younger team sooner, as in this year. He is not about to change coaches at this point in my opinion — but others are more expert than me.

by abramsdoug on Nov 19, 2009 7:15 AM EST reply actions  

I’m still not sure that Maurice is the problem. He is no doubt part of the problem. While I know he isn’t one of the premier coaches in the NHL, he’s had success in the past. I think a lot of the problem is the way Rutherford assembled this team. I believe we shouldn’t have resigned LaRose and put Boychuk in his place. Bryan Rodney probably should have made the opening day roster. Brind Amour should be our 4th line center, and should be focusing on defense and faceoffs. So on and so forth.

by hockeythoughts on Nov 19, 2009 8:17 AM EST reply actions  

Well, the premise here is okay. But why discuss why firing Maurice can’t happen but should? If he should be fired, Rutherford would find a way. Players will be traded or let go before Maurice is fired. If that doesn’t help, and it’s clear that Maurice is a locker room cancer, he will be fired.

by hockeythoughts on Nov 19, 2009 8:21 AM EST reply actions  

So the obvious is that Karmanos and JR (who is part owner) are NOT going to fire Maurice nor JR, they are both here for the long haul. That said, the only option we have is to replace players, i.e. bring them up from Albany. Now, if home attendance starts averaging 6-8k per game, THEN Maurice gets fired, only after JR threatens to move the team due to Raleigh’s indecision about building a downtown arena.

by Capt. Stinky on Nov 19, 2009 8:33 AM EST reply actions  

Hockeythoughts – My over all point here was to say that, even though some of us want his head, it aint going to happen because here are the only realistic scenarios and none of them work.

I truly do think Mo will do more harm than good over the course of what is going to be a rebuild. I have yet to see that he is any good with the young guys. On top of that, I don’t see a system, not one that can work anyway. Especially not with the players we have coming up through the system. Our farm system is based on offense first. Mo is a defensive shut down guy. Sounds like a recipe for disaster.

I also agree that JR’s offseason plans all kind of blew up on him, though I can’t say that I fault him terribly. Looking at it at the time, they all seemed like solid moves. Had any one of them gone south, no biggy – you adjust, but 60% of them have and that is a huge part of our problem to.

Capt. Stinky – I hope we don’t see attendance dip to those levels on average.

by wylde4canes on Nov 19, 2009 8:46 AM EST reply actions  

Good article

Thanks for the article. I like option Recycle Lavi and have for some time for several reasons:
1) He brought us a Cup. I don’t think it was lightning in a bottle.
2) Despite the front office politics, both parties are in need of something and I think can provide it for one another. I think of each thinks of it as “business” and maybe can go from there, they have a chance.
3) JR has been GM of the year. I think he can prove again why he is so great at this job. You do something extraordinary, out of the box, not expected. And you make it work.
4) If this works, I think it would change the whole concept of how contracts for coaches are written and explored. Clubs may be more reluctant to offer quick and/or longer term deals and coaches may be willing to break out of their own molds to do what has to be done for each individual team. Lavi needs more defense, Mo needs more offense, less favoritism, more youth development.

A coach cannot be a one-way player and survive in this league any more that a player can be a one-dimensional player. If you can’t diversify in some respect, your time with any club will be limited.

Again, great article!

by JCLowe on Nov 19, 2009 11:27 AM EST reply actions  

Option 3

Here’s the one thing that most certainly will not happen:

Option 3, with JR going behind the bench.

Reason why not? He just does not want to work that hard. :-D

Honestly, I’ve seen JR’s work day described before, and coaching hours are just not his cup of tea. Wouldn’t be mine, either.

by Elsker on Nov 19, 2009 1:44 PM EST reply actions  

When Maurice came in last year he had some good points that helped our team win-shorter shifts, more defensive work by the forwards, etc. Right now I don’t know what the Canes are trying to do, but I often see bad passes in the offensive zones, which lead to offensive players on the wrong side of the puck when on defense, and an overall lack of the tenacity on the (often double) forecheck that we generated last season.
It seems like now is Maurice’s time to show that he really is a good coach, and not just a stopgap that the league sees him as. I would suggest benching non-producing players starting from the top down, push an offensive system based on speed, not corner work, and try to push the intensity level as much as possible. If he doesn’t this will be his last stop in the NHL. An unproven coach is better than a proven loser.

Now that we are the laughing stock of the league it is going to be even harder to win games, as teams that may walk in expecting a win will put in great third period efforts to avoid losing to us. Even if our play improves considerably we may be facing the same hill as the Islanders or lightning last year.

by EricinSC on Nov 19, 2009 1:45 PM EST reply actions  

Bring Lavi back

But as Asst Coach – his payment can be what he’s getting from the team for sitting on his butt right now.
Let him and Mo fight before every period to decide who’s annoying style the team will follow – then opposing teams will never know what to expect!

by Caniac1026 on Nov 19, 2009 2:18 PM EST reply actions  

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