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Odds Are Against Canes, But Don't Bet Against Them

Traditionally, the home team will win the seventh game of a best of seven series, but the odds are not as overwhelmingly against the visitors for these all important contests as one might think.   According to "whowins.com", the home team has won 60% of the previous game sevens during the preliminary rounds of the NHL playoffs. 

Game 7 in General:
Through Game 6 wins on Sunday, the Carolina Hurricanes and Washington Capitals have forced their respective series to decisive seventh games (with the Hurricanes in New Jersey vs. the Devils, and the Capitals at home vs. the New York Rangers). In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series from 1939 through the 2008 Finals, home teams in Game 7 have a 78-45 (.634) record for all rounds, and a 27-18 (.600) record in the Preliminary round.

Star-divide

Here are some teams who recently overcame the odds and won a decisive seventh game of a series while on the road. (From Hockey Reference.com)

  • 2008 Flyers 3, Capitals 2 OT
  • 2006 Ducks 3, Flames 0  (Ducks also won game six)
  • 2004 Flames 3, Canucks 2 OT
  • 2004 Canadiens 2, Bruins 0 (Habs also won game six)
  • 2003 Devils 3, Senators 2
  • 2003 Wild 4, Canucks 2 (Wild also won game six)
  • 2003 Wild 3, Avs 2 OT (Wild also won game six)
  • 2001 Penguins 3, Sabres 2 OT (Pens also won game six)
  • 2000 Devils 2, Flyers 1
  • 2000 Sharks 3, Blues 1

As you can see, there is plenty of precedent.  The Wild were able to accomplish this twice during the 2003 playoffs.

Will the Hurricanes beat the odds?  We will have a game preview up with more news and analysis shortly after lunchtime.

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Let's GO CANES!!!!!!!!

I seriously may have a nervous breakdown today. :)

by jenniwa30 on Apr 28, 2009 6:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Ditto…
It’s all about who shows up with the right attitude. The goalie battle is secondary. Great scoreres make great goalies great, they also score and win games, we have to put points up. The “all important first goal” will be telling tonight, but not the final word. Should be a great game 7, looking forward to it!!!

A

by Paladin6 on Apr 28, 2009 8:23 AM EDT reply actions  

I don’t care if it’s on the road, although game 7 at home is better. The Canes core of players have been pushed to game 7’s by better teams than Jersey. When was the last time Jersey was in a game 7???

by ivyleager on Apr 28, 2009 8:30 AM EDT reply actions  

2003 against the Ducks

GM of CanesCountry.com

by Bob Wage on Apr 28, 2009 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which they won.

They also came from down 3 games to 1 to win that series against the Flyers in the 2000 Eastern Conference Final. Although I give credit for that Game 7 win to Scott Stevens – his hit on Eric Lindros halfway through the first period took the will to win out of the Flyers.

Brodeur has a pretty good record when it comes to Game 7s, I think. I know that he’s won more Game 7s than he’s lost. The only ones I can remember him losing are the ’94 Eastern Conference Final against the New York Rangers and the ’01 Cup Final against the Colorado Avalanche.

by kellyn on Apr 28, 2009 2:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t have any doubt this will be won on a bounce … whether it be by the first goal going in that way, giving the early leader momentum, or a late bounce that resolves a tight game. These teams are too evenly matched for anything else.

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by Cory Lavalette on Apr 28, 2009 9:42 AM EDT reply actions  

i think the difference is the line change.
the defensive and offensive match ups wont be quite as easy to decide for the devils as they were previously.

if it were at home with last change, we win easily again.
but on the road, we shall see.

this is will be a night to remember

by chrisj on Apr 28, 2009 9:55 AM EDT reply actions  

Been here before.....

I don’t know if I have heard it mentioned…. but this will be the third consecutive playoff series in which the Hurricanes went to game 7… (see game 7 Vs. Buffalo and game 7 Vs. Edmonton in 2006). I think this fact may be an advatnage for our guys who have been there and done that before.

We aren’t at home this time and we don’t have the experienced calm and leadership of Wesley and Hedican in “the room” this time…. But Staal, Brind’Amour, Kaberle, Whitney, Ward, Wallin, Cullen, Cole, LaRose, (technically Babchuck), Coach McCarthy, and Coach Daniels were all there for THE game 7 that mattered the most…. (let me know if I left anyone out…)

I know that The Devils have their share of experience in this situation; But I really like our momentum, our speed, our conditioning, and our goaltender going into this game…. If all of our guys show up and win on a minute-by-minute-shift-by-shift basis then we will get the outcome we all want.

by Mateos_Canes_Lamp on Apr 28, 2009 10:07 AM EDT reply actions  

The Devils have even more experience in that area than the Hurricanes. As far as Stanley Cup playoff experience goes, I think the Devils have the most of any team in the East. Martin Brodeur, Brendan Shanahan, Patrik Elias, Jamie Langenbrunner, Bobby Holik, John Madden, Jay Pandolfo, Colin White, Brian Gionta, Brian Rolston and Mike Rupp all have at least one championship ring and of those players the only one not to win the Cup with the Devils is Shanny (Langenbrunner also won a Stanley Cup with Dallas in ‘99 before being traded to New Jersey where he won the cup again in ’03). I don’t know much about the Hurricanes roster or how many players remain from the ‘06 championship team. I think it’s fair to say that both teams have a lot of experience so it will be interesting to see if that factors in to tonight’s game. I’m nervous but very excited!

by kellyn on Apr 28, 2009 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

If I'm not mistaken

The Devils did also win Game 6 in 2000, as part of their run after being down 3-1 in that series.

I don't need no instructions to know how to rock!

by R_Adragna on Apr 28, 2009 11:04 AM EDT reply actions  

correct.

GM of CanesCountry.com

by Bob Wage on Apr 28, 2009 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

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