Canes Country Exit Analysis: Cam Ward
At the midway point of the 2008-09 season, Carolina Hurricanes goaltender Cam Ward looked like he was again destined for the kind of up-and-down year he produced the previous two seasons. In March, The Hockey News ranked Ward the No. 21 goalie in the league — probably too low based on his pperformance, but it was a reflection of his perceived play due to his inconsistency.
But after dominating down the stretch and carrying the Canes deep into the playoffs for the second time in four NHL seasons, Ward's name is now being included in discussions on who should be on Canada's roster for this winter's Olympics. It's hard to question Ward's upside now that he's twice been the lynchpin for long postseason run. But can the 25-year-old goalie — still one of the youngest starters in the league — put together the start-to-finish, dominant season that would make him a part of the Vezina Trophy discussion each year?
The Good: After the Hurricanes' coaching change, Ward displayed the skills, demeanor and durability every team hopes for out of its starting backstop. He won nine in a row before losing the regular season finale to Buffalo, and his hot play continued into the postseason. Outside of the Canes' four-game ouster to the Penguins — when he was battling injury —Ward was magnificent in the playoffs, outdueling one of the best of all time in Martin Brodeur and following that up by topping eventual Vezina Trophy winner Tim Thomas in the Eastern Conference semifinals.
The Bad: Ward started the season a pedestrian 8-7-3, plus had a five-game losing streak in mid-January. He was also victimized by the eventual Stanley Cup champs, allowing 17 goals in Pittsburgh's four-game sweep of Carolina.
The Stats: It was a career year for Ward statistically.
- 39 wins — career high (two more than previous high set in 2007-08).
- 23 regulation losses — second lowest as a starter in his career (two more than career low of 21 in 2006-07)
- 5 overtime/shootout losses — matches total from 2007-08, one fewer than 2006-07.
- 6 shutouts — career high (four in 2007-08).
- .916 save percentage — career high (.904 in 2007-08).
- 2.44 goals-against average — career high (2.75 in 2007-08).
- 1,901 saves — career high (1,870 in 2007-08).
- 3,928 minutes played — second in career (two fewer than 2007-08).
The Money: Ward made $2.5 million in 2008-09, the second year of a three-year contract that paid him $2 million in 2007-08 and will pay him $3.5 million this upcoming season. The Hurricanes are looking to sign Ward to a long-term deal, likely in the $5 to $6 million a year range. Even if they are unable to get a deal done before or during this season, Ward only holds restricted free agent rights after 2009-10.
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A
And the only reason I’m affraid he gets it is his relatively-low price tag for the year.
You can tell he benefitted from the defensively minded Mo, as I’m sure any G would have. Too many times was he left out to dry by the rushing defense pre-Mo. Seems like the reign of Laviolette was so very long ago.
Once he’s making 5-6M a year, he’s going to have to be awesome all year long to get an A from me. All that aside I think he had a fine stretch run and a pretty good playoff run. He’ll have to step it up a bit in the coming years to earn that big check, despite the defensive upgrades to the blueline. Perhaps the prospects in the wings will push him to excellence.
One last thought, I can’t wait for Brodour to retire so some other goaltenders can go to the all-star game.
Cam will get better...
But I doubt guys like Murphy or Peters will be what does it.
My first argument against socialized healthcare? Yunel Escobar's grill.
by MichaelProcton on Aug 17, 2009 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions
A
His stats have gotten better every year and, as Cory stated, he’s only 25. Cward has a chance to be a top5 goalie in the NHL for years to come, and should be an All-Star soon. With an explosive #1 center like Staal and a potentially dominant goalie, the Canes are poised for a solid 5-7 years of competitive hockey.
B
I know Ward had a very good back end of the season, but there were times early in the year he looked pretty bad. I’ll agree with you on the Laviolette system leaving him out to dry, but that doesn’t explain everything. The Edmonton game where he gave up a goal very late in the third (less than two minutes to go I think) in a tie game that cost the team a point. Similar outings against Phoenix and Pittsburgh early. It’s not to say he didn’t have a very good season for a goal tender his age. It’s just that if the grade is based on total league play, then I can’t see Ward earning an A last year.
According to at least one formula...
He was the 5th-best goalie in the NHL last year. Granted, sportsline has always given way too much credit for just playing lots of games, but a couple of the guys in front of him played even more.
My first argument against socialized healthcare? Yunel Escobar's grill.
by MichaelProcton on Aug 17, 2009 8:16 PM EDT up reply actions
I wouldn’t say Ward had a bad year last year. He had a good year, and not just when compared to his previous seasons. I just can’t quite put him in the top 5 goalies in the league, which is who I would reserve an A for the season.
For my money Mason, Nabokov, Thomas and Backstrom had better seasons. I think Ward is in the next group with guys like Lundquist, Miller, Fluerry, and Kipprusoff. I’d probably include Broduer in that second group if he’d played all season. I’d probably give Miller the edge of that group because I think he’s the most valuable to his team of anyone in that group.
That said, I think Ward stands a very good chance of establishing himself as a top flight tender next season. The d should be better all season, that will help. He’s now had two long playoff runs, which really help a goalie figure out what it takes to win. He’s got all the tools and I think he’s now got all the seasoning he needs to make it happen.
I’d agree he wasn’t top five this year, but Backstrom is a system goalie. He’ll show his true colors this year without Lemaire’s trap system.
by Cory Lavalette on Aug 17, 2009 9:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Yes, Mo shielded Cam from more odd-man rushes, but it wasn’t just that he was letting in fewer goals … he played better. He made bigger saves and did so consistently. Team defense did improve, but so did Cam’s play.
by Cory Lavalette on Aug 18, 2009 11:50 PM EDT up reply actions
What about Luongo?
I know he had rough stretches last season, especially in the playoffs, but I think he is as valuable as Miller to his team’s success.
by SouthernHockeyFan on Aug 18, 2009 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions
Frankly...
I think Ward is clearly suprior to anybody you list in that second tier. Maybe not a couple years ago with Kipprusoff, but he’s become more and more inconsistent with each passing year.
My first argument against socialized healthcare? Yunel Escobar's grill.
by MichaelProcton on Aug 21, 2009 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions
I gave him an A – because of his age and therefore his “value” , still at an early point in his career. I think goalies are the hardest to rate because they’re alone in their position in each game. You can compare the skaters to each other on any given night against any given team.
I agree with much of C-Leaguer though on Ward’s inconsistency – which is what seems to separate the A’s from the B’s when it comes to goalies.
I def’ly agree with the comments about the change to Mo emphasizing defensive responsibility of all 5 skaters in are part of his improvement. I feel like this ongoing strength in our own end (eg: not having the likes of Babchuk crashing Ward into the goal in Boston – game 5? – too bad that didn’t invoke rule 69) and the elevation of Barrasso’s status this season will really help to see what Ward is capable of.
I liked the little bit in Branecky’s piece on Canes’ making great coaches where he mentioned Cam Ward was undoubtedly a future GM.
On a somewhat unrelated note, Cam Ward is my pick for future general manager. He works the phone on fantasy football trades like no other.
Question for all you laptop GM’s:
Would we rather JR sign him up long-term this summer (like he did with Staal last year) or wait till we see one more year to better understand Ward’s potential? I can’t imagine us walking away from an arbitration ruling, if that’s the worse case of waiting till next year (like happened to Zherdev and the NYR) Would Ward (or his agent) want the sure thing now or another year for him to demonstrate greater worth?
Let's go Canes!
Hakkaa Paalle!
by Carolyn Christians on Aug 17, 2009 9:22 PM EDT reply actions
signing NOW if possible!
I am no Wardo homer… I personally give him a B+… but he IS a top 8 goalie in the NHL, and has the potential to be even better.
by packpigskinfan25 on Aug 17, 2009 9:44 PM EDT up reply actions
Consistency is the only thing you could say he need to improve on. He played better than any other goalie the last 1/3 of the season and played his best when he had to. There were plenty of times where he only faced 8-9 shots in one period (lulled to sleep) and have to respond with 20 saves the next (inconsistency up front). His biggest assets are his glove hand and most importantly his mind.
Top 5 goalie now in my book and for a long time to come
by CarolinaCanes on Aug 18, 2009 3:47 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I think it's dangerous to let him play out this year.
I think he’ll have another great year (perhaps even better than last from start to finish), and that will only cost us more money long term.
My first argument against socialized healthcare? Yunel Escobar's grill.
by MichaelProcton on Aug 21, 2009 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Stats say alot...but not everything
Cam was 12th in GAA with 2.44 allowed behind the likes of Mason, Brodeur…Thomas led the league. He was 14th in save % at .916%. And….he was 3rd in wins with 39 behind Kippersoff (45) and Nabakov (41). Perhaps this just illustrates the point that through the mid point of the season Cam struggled for consistency. He was nonexistent on the NHL leaderboard until the end of the season when he went on his marathon of starts. I think Cam should be ridden hard just like his hero MB and should play 70+ every year. Nabokov played 76. He seems to respond best when the world rests on his shoulders with no alternative backups. This may not be the best development scenario for prospects, but it seems to work for Cam. He is a proven winner with a great attitude and is rightly part of the backbone of our org going forward.
Actually...
He was among the league leaders very early in the year. He got off to a rocket strat.
My first argument against socialized healthcare? Yunel Escobar's grill.
by MichaelProcton on Aug 21, 2009 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions
Cam is a money goalie........
I gave him a B. I think his best years are ahead of him. He was one of the best this past season but is capable of much more. He is the type of guy who just improves and improves each year. If he can improve this season as much as last, he will be a top three guy. To get an A, he needs to take that next step.
Guys, we may be about to see Martin Brodeur in his prime all over again right here in CAROLINA! Next year he will likely earn an A from me.
Gee………lets get the season going already…….

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![Have you seen the "Google search make your own 30-second video" [FIXED the link, sorry] at Youtube? I made my take on the Canes season this morning. Check it out and if you make one you like, post it over here. Lot of fun.](http://cdn2.sbnation.com/fan_shot_images/111208/2_small.jpg)
















