Are Goalies Worth Elite Pay?
Cam Ward now with second highest Cap Hit for goalies in NHL
The goalie position has taken a bit of a hit this offseason around the NHL. Once dubbed the "most important position in all of sports", some teams now appear to be satisfied settling for lower cost options rather than paying for the best goaltender available.
Of course the salary cap is a bit of the driver here as teams struggle to stay under the cap maximum, or within budget limits, but several clubs seem to be making an intentional decision to go cheap in net, regardless of the cap. Did the postseason success of teams like Montreal, Philadelphia, and Chicago change the way NHL general managers rank the importance of the position?
Stanley Cup finalists Philadelphia and Chicago both made it to the promised land with less then heralded goalies, Michael Leighton and Antti Niemi, in net. Both goalies were considered second stringers earlier in the season and were making close to minimal salaries.
The Montreal Canadiens rode the hot hand of another backup goalie, Jaroslav Halak, all the way to the Eastern Conference Finals. But rather than pay the goalie a raise this summer to keep him in the fold, they traded his rights to St. Louis instead.
After another disappointing playoff performance, San Jose allowed long time goalie Evgeni Nabokov to sign in the KHL. Now they are supposedly going with Tampa Bay's part-timer last season, Antero Niittymaki at a fraction of what they previously paid Nabokov.
Other teams who were counting on their higher paid netminders for success ended up leaving the playoffs early or not making the postseason at all. Henrik Lundqvist, Martin Brodeur, Roberto Luongo, Miikka Kiprusoff, Nicklas Backstrom, and Ryan Miller, among the highest paid goalies in the league, each failed to either make it to the postseason, or play deep into the playoffs.
Perhaps the big money is better spent elsewhere?
The Carolina Hurricanes will not be one of the teams who are going cheap in net. As a matter of fact, they have already committed to going the opposite way. Cam Ward's new six year contract kicks in this season and his cap number of $6.3 million is the second highest for a goalie in the entire league.
While a couple goalies have longer term deals, only one is making more on average than Ward. The following list is from NHLNumbers.com.
| Player | Age | Cap Hit | |
| 2010-11 | |||
| (millions) | |||
| 1 | Henrik Lundqvist | 28 | 6.875 |
| 2 | Cam Ward | 26 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Ryan Miller | 29 | 6.25 |
| 4 | J-P Giguere | 33 | 6 |
| 5 | Nicklas Backstrom | 32 | 6 |
| 6 | Miikka Kiprusoff | 33 | 5.833 |
| 7 | Tomas Vokoun | 33 | 5.7 |
| 8 | Cristobal Huet | 34 | 5.625 |
| 9 | Roberto Luongo | 31 | 5.333 |
| 10 | Martin Brodeur | 38 | 5.2 |
| 11 | Tim Thomas | 36 | 5 |
| 12 | M-A Fleury | 25 | 5 |
Ward has certainly made a name for himself regarding postseason play as he is undefeated in game seven's, has won a Conn Smythe, and has backstopped a Stanley Cup Championship, but so far he's been less than consistent during the regular season and has yet to be nominated for a Vezina, which is one of the stepping stones to being considered an elite goalie in the league.
Now that his cap number puts him in elite status, it is more important than ever that he performs like one of the best goalies in the league during the coming regular seasons. Being a smaller market team, the Canes take in less income than many of their counterparts and hence are usually a budget minded franchise. Each contract is very important and they need maximum value for every dollar spent.
Teammate Eric Staal sometimes faces criticism because his results are not deemed to be worth his $8.2 million dollar cap hit. Will Ward face the same scrutiny?
Last season was an injury riddled fiasco and one the goalie would probably rather forget. His 18 wins placed him at 28th in the league, his .916 save percentage was 14th best, and his GAA of 2.69 was rated at 26th in the league.
The previous year would probably be a better measuring point. In 2008-09, he won 39 games which was third most in the league, his save percentage was .916, again at 14th best, and his GAA was 2.44 ranked at 12th in the league.
In order to be nominated for a Vezina, he probably needs to have all of those stats be in the top five in the league.
This coming season will be a big one for Ward. Not only will he need to be more consistent, improve on his numbers, and steal a game for his club once in awhile, (zero shutouts last season), he will also have to prove that he can play the majority of the season and stay injury free. Now with two separate reported episodes of "back pain" on his resume, trainer Pete Friesen will be watching him closely.
Will Cam Ward and his highly compensated fellow thoroughbreds in the NHL dominate and return the goalie position to being known as "the most important position in all of sports", or will the lesser known and lower paid netminders rule the roost again this season?
If you were a GM, who would you put on your team?
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Cam's contract
As the new contract kicks in, it does provide one season of ramp-up relief.
Although Cam’s cap hit of $6.3M ranks him second, only behind King Henry’s $6.875M and just slightly ahead of Ryan Miller’s $6.25M, his cash flow hit for this season is not quite so lofty.
Sorting by goalie position and ‘10-’11 salary (not cap hit), slots Cam at #12 among the NHL goalies under contract for next season.
It’s the following season, ‘11-’12, in which his contract mirrors his cap hit at $6.3M, moving him rapidly up the list to #3 that season, behind only Lundquist and Luongo (assuming that contract is allowed to stand).
Cam’s definitely Ryan Miller good, which I’m sure was used in determining his contract.
And, despite the need for certain GM’s to “go cheap” in the goalie department in a salary-cap world (especially one where they may have made some bad decisions elsewhere within the budget), I think your goalie is still going to be a huge factor in just how far you go in a season…especially once the second season begins.
Here we are now...entertain us.
Excellent post Bob! I for one think Cam is worth pretty much whatever it takes to keep him at this point in his career. He’s a beast in the playoffs and can win games we don’t have any business winning. Obviously we would all like to see his regular season play improve, but I think the biggest reason Cam doesn’t have numbers like some is because of our defense. IMO, if we had a big, bad, stay-at-home d-man to help Timmy out, it would likely make Cam’s job much easier.
I’ve been re-watching games from this past season and it seems like Cam was left out to dry on his own far to often. If we had a defense that was Blackhawk-like, I’m convinced a healthy Cam Ward would be a standout in the league every year…
Very Good Bob
While i too may think that Cam Ward does need to step it up a notch or 2, but we fans must never forget, that a goalie is only as good as those who are back there with him helping him…and last year several goals during the dreaded slump were preventable IF again I say IF Cam ward get beter support from the D squad…but that is another topic for another day…but to answered Bob’s questions of Who I’d chose IF I was a GM ?? I’d look at several of the AHL premire goalies and see what they have,what they did …again I’d looking to see & not necessarily actively shopping…:-}
And if it Aint Hockey,It Aint Nothin !!
That Checkers 3rd Sweater ROCKS !!!
Wardo
Cam Ward is worth every dollar they pay him. He is at his best in the playoffs . People forget that he put the ’Canes on his back and carried them to the Eastern finals in 2009.
No Carolina fan will forget his play in the 2006 Cup run. He is capable of putting up 50 regular season wins with a solid D to play in front of him (unlike last year where the D and lack of forward support left him in a shooting gallery).
The 2010 finals were a bit of a fluke. If Leighton had played better (especially in Game 1)
they would have the Cup on Broad Street. Chicago’s goalie was not much better. In the long run, goaltending wins championships ….. plus Wardo is a solid team guy. You never hear about him creating an issue in the lockerroom.
Cam Ward is worth every dollar they pay him. He is at his best in the playoffs . People forget that he put the ’Canes on his back and carried them to the Eastern finals in 2009.
Gotta disagree with this. Clutch goals carried us to the Eastern Conference finals. Cam played well, but I don’t remember him carrying the team. I do remember him being part of the total team meltdown in the ECF though.
Cam has the potential to be one of the elite goaltenders in this league, I expect and hope him to live up to his new contract extension. Certainly part of his numbers being down last year were the weak ass defense we had in front of him for the better part of the year. Cam was sidelined by injuries by the time the team started playing better.
by Iggy Reilly on Aug 16, 2010 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions
I also disagree that Cam was a victim of the defense last year. Was he “left out to dry” by the defense? On occassion, yes. Every goalie is, regardless of the “big, bad, stay-at-home d-man” in front of them. Last year there were many occassions where the D did it’s job, and Cam left them out to dry. Cam has to pick up his game and show he’s worth his money, consistently. We enjoy poking fun at Brodeur, but he has stood up for a long time, and you rarely, if ever, hear him blaming his defense. Cam needs to reach that same consistency for us to be successful.
Not blaming all his troubles last year on the D, but come on, it was miserable for the first few months.
by Iggy Reilly on Aug 16, 2010 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions
A great goalie is like a good starting pitcher in Baseball. They give your team a better chance at winining each and every game.
Given our lack of investment at other positions, it seems logical the ’Canes would spend money on a backstop that gives our team a better chance of winning.
Bob’s statistics show that you can win the ‘Cup without an ’Elite’ goal tender, however how many ’Cups would NJ have won without Martin Brodeur?
Cam.....
has a few things he needs to work on, but the new belief that you really don’t need a great Goalie is not his fault. At the time this was signed, this looked like a decent deal, especially considering JC himself could have come down from the Heavens and offered to play goal for a dollar and JR would have still said Cam was better. Ward = Fleury right now. He is better than Niemi and, keep in mind I have been a critic too, I believe he has better upside that Marc Andre. I think he has peaked, Wardo can still get better.
He needs to be come a better one on one goalie, he looks freaking lost in shoot-outs. He also has to stop having the " Cam Ward Shutout "(Where he allows an extremely soft goal at some point in the game but nothing else). I think these things can come with age.
I think he is worth the money, especially considering the Org was going to spend it on him any way.
it always burns within
the downward spiral never ends
when driven into sin
your salvation's found in a sinner's deed
by Douchebag St John on Aug 16, 2010 11:59 AM EDT reply actions
I’ll start by saying that I’m a huge Cam fan. I love to watch goalies, and Cam doesn’t disappoint when it comes to amazing saves. I’ve been saying for a while that Cam could be in the top five goaltenders in the league. He has the talent. Better than Fluery – without a doubt. Better than Miller – not yet., in my opinion
I dread when they head into a shootout. Does anyone have stats on his career with shootouts? I’d be interested to know if my concerns are all perception or reality.
I believe he is worth the money and wouldn’t trade him for anyone. BUT, just like our other star needs to work on faceoffs, Ward needs to practice shootouts. Perhaps Jussi and Cam should spend some quality time together.
I just hope he can stay healthy so he can live up to his potential because this team needs an elite goaltender to win championships.
That’s one of those Java pages, or something like that, so doubt we can provide direct links to the sorted results.
But, if you click on Stats at NHL.com, and then Individuals, you get a very useful table that allows filtering, via the drop down menus (so you can select categories like Years=2009-2010 and Position=Goalie and Report=Shootout).
Then the top of each data column is a link that will sort the entire list by that column if you click on it.
So, having done all of that, we see that Cam is ranked 40th among NHL goalies in shootout save percentage at 0.600 (with 10 shootout shots taken for 25th among goalies on shots faced).
Here we are now...entertain us.
Just to throw my opinion in…I really think Cam is a goalie that is essential in winning in the playoffs. I don’t necessarily think that his regular season stats are going to jump leaps and bounds (and I also think he needs to split more time playing with Peters) but he takes his performance level output during the playoffs and just plays at a whole new level. Also in regards to his performance last year I will blame most of it on the defense. I mean look how awfully Leighton played with us last year. NO one assumed that when he went to another team that he would actually play well and well guess what? When he got a stellar defense in front of him he backstopped the Flyers to the Stanley Cup Finals.
Is Cam Ward worth elite pay?
In a word, HELL YEAH.
I guess technically that’s two words.
Phoblographer and Finn Aficionado
SISU
I have always been amazed that everyone here seems to be more apologetic for Ward’s shortcomings, but very critical of Staal’s by comparison.
The Goalie position is such that a bad day for a goalie is almost always a loss, where as a bad day for any skater, be it your star captain or your 4th line winger, can be overcome by another skater rising to the occasion.
I have often felt this organization has been too high on Cam, and that it may be there eventual undoing…….
I have always been amazed that everyone here seems to be more apologetic for Ward’s shortcomings, but very critical of Staal’s by comparison.
That is an interesting observation because I think you are right. There are a ton of Ward apologists out there and Staal does seem to get the short end of the stick…well the shortest end that any player gets on a board for dedicated homers.
I wonder why that is the case. Perhaps it is the sympathy and empathy one can get from such a stand alone position. Even the most novice fan could see how God awful our D has been the last few years. I have a hard time holding Wardo responsible for a lot of that, and I feel like I have higher expectations than most.
it always burns within
the downward spiral never ends
when driven into sin
your salvation's found in a sinner's deed
by Douchebag St John on Aug 16, 2010 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions
“well the shortest end that any player gets on a board for dedicated homers”. Great line.
I agree, he didn’t have horrible numbers for a losing record, he actually kept his SA% the same as the year before, which kind of says he was about the same. The difference being the GAA which is usually thought of as a team stat.
GAA.....
Can be completely misleading. Its not always a Team stat, but it can be. This year it was completely a team stat. In the first two months of the season Cam was the lone shining star. He save % at one point was .92something…..on a team that was in the midst of what would be come a 14 game losing streak. That says A LOT.
it always burns within
the downward spiral never ends
when driven into sin
your salvation's found in a sinner's deed
by Douchebag St John on Aug 16, 2010 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions
I guess you and I have different memories about last year. I remember Cam coming in from the Team Canada tryouts injured, and struggling to start the year. He was symptomatic of the team’s problems, not the exception to them.
Thru the first 8 games of the season Cam was at a 0.922 sv %. This was four games in to the 14 game losing streak. His numbers dipped from there as he got rode out for every game.
Is it possible to be addicted to hockey?
Thru the first 8 games of the season Cam was at a 0.922 sv %. This was four games in to the 14 game losing streak. His numbers dipped from there as he got rode out for every game.
I knew I could count on " Captain Stat " to verify my facts. I will be using your own facts against you in a later argument however…..
it always burns within
the downward spiral never ends
when driven into sin
your salvation's found in a sinner's deed
by Douchebag St John on Aug 16, 2010 6:07 PM EDT up reply actions
It’s because Staal doesn’t move his legs in an animated motion to give an appearance of fast skating while actually moving at 2/mph, like Chad LaRose. It’s the same reason people hate Pitkanen. If Cam Ward had the same stats while simply standing idly in net and nonchalantly gloving point-blank one-timers out of the air, he’d be “lazy” too.
I say yes, look at the list of Stanley Cup winners the past 20 years, with the exception of Chicago (Niemi) and Detroit (Osgood not Hasek) almost everyone of those teams had at the time what would be called an Elite Goaltender. If you’re not going to spend the money on a goalie then you have to spend it on your dmen like Chicago & Detroit did.
Ah, but looking backward is the problem. Goaltending today is significantly different from what it was pre-lockout. Taking out the trap, opening up the game, reducing pad size, and, yes I may be the only person on the face of the planet in favor of it, the trapezoid, all this has tilted the game. Add to it that the previous crop of goaltenders, Roy, Hasek, Broduer, Belfour, etc are not just hall of famers, but top tier hall of famers.
Is it possible to be addicted to hockey?
Hoping last year was just a fluke in Cam's career.
I felt really bad as a fan of the Canes to see Cam not only get the leg injury (for the 2nd time in his career of all things) – but then have the back issues. I hope he’s spent the entire summer keeping in shape and watching his back, but not pushing so hard that he will have a reoccurring of the back issues.
I think that as long as he is healthy, Cam will be awesome – and then we can start blaming the defense. Because even if your goalie is the best in the world, your defense needs to be right up there as well. :)
Jim Rutherford is a moron.
off topic here but I read this from a Puck Daddy Headlines link…….Krajicek in negotiations with Canes? http://www.broadstreethockey.com/2010/8/16/1625141/catching-up-with-krajicek
That is the first I’ve read or heard about that. I’m not sure why we would even be pursuing that if it’s true. Interesting to say the least.
Yeah, well, you know, that's just like, uh, your opinion, man.
I just saw that too … it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense.
by Cory Lavalette on Aug 16, 2010 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions
We're about to find out how good Ward is
I do hope Ward gets more nights off this year for the sake of his health. He’s probably going to have to be in top form whenever he plays.
The Canes’ group of defensemen is good, with Corvo, Carson and Babchuk back and McBain coming on. They’ll have quite a few guys who can really skate, pass, and shoot, especially if Sanguinetti sticks.
But that may not make life easy for Cam Ward. As often noted here in Canes Country, the defensemen are as a group below average when it comes to grit and muscle. Gleason is really the only Canes’ defensemen who combines high defensive skill with good size, a sturdy body type, and toughness. Ward will probably see more than his share of big forwards in the goal crease and have to deal with lots of screened shots.
by curiouscanesfan on Aug 16, 2010 2:36 PM EDT reply actions
I love Cam & I think he is great (but I would take Legacy in a shootout any day) and he deserved the pay. however I cannot help but think the length of this contract may turn around and bite us later. No facts just gut…I hope I am wrong
I would be nice to see a complete healthy season for him this year. The need for his magic moments are long over due
RAKASTAN SUOMEN!!
by danicanes on Aug 16, 2010 2:41 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
…(but I would take Legacy in a shootout any day)…
I bet we all have the same opinion.
And yet, when I go to the same NHL stat source and take a look at where Manny Legace ended up on the shootout save percentage rankings, it’s practically identical to Cam’s positon.
Manny is 36th among goalies for shootout save percentage last season, with a 0.667 SV% on nine shots total.
Cam was 40th among goalies with a 0.600 SV% on ten shots taken.
So, Cam only let in one more shootout goal than Manny for ‘09-’10.
Here we are now...entertain us.
Cam Ward and the Flavor of the Day
If one NHL gets a tattoo on his arm, about 20 other GMs rush out to ensure they are not left behind. The remainder of the GMs without tattoos, shake their heads quietly and go about their business. The “let’s go cheap on our goalies” GMs don’t impress me with their foresight. In the end, winning two or three more games a season is the difference between early golf and a long post season. Some GMs have invested $18 million in their first forward lines and have built teams under the “aces and spaces” concept.
I think Cam Ward is a bargain. I also think E. Staal, Ruutu, and Pitkanen are bargains. The idea of scrimping of goalies in order to invest in more expensive forwards or defensemen seems foolhardy. Leighton showed what happens with a talented goalie, but one who has flaws in his game, gets to the seventh game of the Stanley Cup. I can’t imagine in the exact same situation with Cam Ward in goal, Ward lets in the Kane goal. The elite goalies rise to the occasion; and the goalies of moderate talent explain how sorry they are that their team lost the big game.
I rarely agree with Parsons, but he is dead on on this one. No way even a marginally better keeper allows Kane’s goal. I like Leighton and am happy for his success, but I think the playoffs showed you exactly what you get with goalies of his ilk. Moments of greatness followed by absolute mediocrity.
it always burns within
the downward spiral never ends
when driven into sin
your salvation's found in a sinner's deed
by Douchebag St John on Aug 16, 2010 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions
Winners
It’s hard to find goalies and players who know how to win the big games. Both Wardo and Staal have won the Cup and World Championships. If Ward was healthy, he would of been my pick for the Olympic team and would have won the gold with Staal.
His game 7 record says it all. Not bad at age 26.
I think players are more confident with Wardo in the nets regardless of his stats and worth the money.
Ward and MAF are the two goalies of the future for Canada… I think Ward has the edge (and more respect among the league currently), but a healthy season or two with solid stats would go a long way to help his cause.
I think Ward is worth the money… Especially when you consider he is only 26 and most elite goalies don’t hit their prime till 28-30. He will probably never win a Vezina due to inconsistency during the regular season, but he is one of the best Playoff goalies in the NHL. Granted, I don’t think Ward and Staal’s contracts were structured around a budget team. It is hard to field a complete, deep team (offensively and defensively) when they have the 4th highest paid forward and 2nd highest paid goalie in the league and are also on a budget. Hopefully our cheap youth will help us in that department.
I must say, I’m a little shocked (and perhaps a tad disappointed) that canescup hasn’t chimed in with something along the lines of “yeah goalies are worth elite pay, but our goalie (note-a 2goal20secondCam reference would also go here) isn’t”.
Come on canescup, step up your Cam-hating game. :)
In all seriousness, I see this as kind of a rock and a hard place issue. If we don’t pay Cam (and Eric) elite money, we can’t keep them and the team suffers. But at the same time, having two such highly paid players on a budget team forces “coupon-cutting” in all other areas. Personally I think the team is better off with Cam at a high price (and yes Eric too) and a cost-saving approach elsewhere than a team without Cam or Eric and spreading that money evenly across all players.
"What Carolina really has going for them is Brandon Sutter. When that kid first showed up, he looked like a skinny little thing that wouldn’t last two weeks. But he’s turned into a real star."
I agree, having seen plenty of the other in past permutations of the Canes.
Secret to making this sustainable, however, is to have a fresh supply of entry-level (read affordable) talent acquired via draft and/or trade to flesh out the missing parts.
JR has also in the past spread the money around the D, with a committee approach. That may well be changing, too.
Here we are now...entertain us.
Meh
I think having any “elite” player at any position is going to help. Goaltenders are no exception.
I’d rather have Ward credentials than Turco, Luongo and Nabokov’s Vezina nominations.
The ORG has always been searching for their Brodeur (I think this is thanks to JR having been a goalie combined with his stick-envy of NJ. They found a franchise goalie in Ward and will be hard-pressed to let go.
Not just a simple "no",
but more like an emphatic “F*CK NO”.
In this salary cap era, if I were a coach, I’d send my scrub players at full speed into the opposing teams multi-million dollar goalie.
If that hurts them during “clean play”, that’s a shame.
If that hurts them during “not so clean play”, hell hockey’s a tough sport so man up.
All "Real Men" have one name in common: "Daddy"



















