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What Went Wrong, Part Two: Team Defense

This past season, Carolina Hurricanes goalie Cam Ward had the best regular season of his career.  He made more saves than any other goalie in the NHL and his .923 save percentage was tied for 5th best in the league, (among goalies who played 30 games or more.)    Looking at those stats alone one might assume the Canes had a very successful season, but there is much more to the story.

Even with Ward's outstanding play, the team allowed more goals against them than they scored, a total of 239 against, which placed 21st in the league.  So how could Carolina have allowed so many goals if Ward played so well?

The Hurricanes allowed more shots on goal, (33.2 per game), than any team in the NHL. 

What makes that stat even more alarming is that Carolina also led the entire league with 566:57 minutes of powerplay time.  The Canes were among the league leaders at drawing penalties, but had trouble converting, hence that huge number.  They had a full 20 minutes more ice time with the advantage than second place Toronto and 40 minutes more time than fourth place Pittsburgh.   

As unlikely as it would seem to be able to lead the league in both categories, that's exactly how bad Carolina's team defense was last year.  Considering those stats, one could make a valid argument that they had the worst team defense in the league.

Now, how do they fix it?

Star-divide

At his end of season press conference, Jim Rutherford stated that the team played "too open" of a game and that led to too many shots against, but there were other contributing factors to that glaring, negative stat. 

  1. Faceoff percentage:  When a team loses too many faceoffs, especially in their own end, that leads to more shots against. Carolina finished 29th in the league with a 44.6% winning faceoff percentage.  If they could improve on their faceoffs, especially if they could get up above 50%, that would automatically reduce the shots against totals and would increase their shots for.   
  2. Puck Possession:  Some teams have a philosophy of keeping possession of the puck as long as possible.  A wise coach once said, "As long as we have the puck, the other team can not score."  One way to increase puck possession time is by cycling it and grinding it in the offensive zone and that is really not Carolina's game.  More often than not, it seemed the other team was controlling the puck in the Hurricanes' zone.  Somehow, the team should reverse those scenarios.
  3. Physicality:  Sometimes it just comes down to brute strength and having the ability to win one-on-one battles along the boards, being able to clear bodies out of the crease, and being strong enough to take the puck away from your opponent.  But not only were the Hurricanes one of the youngest and shortest teams in the league, they were also the very lightest team in the league last season, (average weight.)  While that benefits team speed, it doesn't help in other important facets of the game.  After Tim Gleason, (3rd) and Jay Harrison, (6th), the other defensemen placed low in total team hits.  Joni Pitkanen has good size, but would not be considered physical.  Joe Corvo and Jamie McBain had minimal hits and Anton Babchuk had a measly two hits in 17 games while with the Canes.  Since his acquisition, Bryan Allen has helped in that area a lot and will be a help next season, but will he be enough?  The ideal situation would be to have one physical defenseman and one good puck mover in each pairing.   
  4. Forwards:  When only one player on the team is in double digits with a positive plus/minus, something is amiss.  Brandon Sutter was +13 for the season.  The next closest forward was Cory Stillman at +5, then Jussi Jokinen and Jeff Skinner at +3.  For whatever reason, there appeared to be poor communication on this team because quite often when a defenseman pinched, there was no forward to take his place at the blueline, and that resulted in numerous odd man rushes coming back the other way.  Improvement should come with experience and with more intensified coaching, but improvement needs to come in that area. 
  5. Blocked shots:  As a team, Carolina blocked a fairly good number of shots and finished in the middle of the league, but the forwards might want to help out more in this area as well.  As one might expect, the top shot blockers were all defensemen, with Gleason, Pitkanen, Corvo, McBain, and Harrison leading the way.  Coincidentally enough, to go along with his team best plus/minus, coming in 6th place was Sutter, who was the leading forward with 73 blocks.  The next closest forwards were Patrick Dwyer with 63, then Jokinen and Ruutu with 38 each.  One could say that Sutter padded his blocked shot totals because he led the team with the most shorthanded ice time.  But coming behind Sutter and Dwyer with the third most ice time for forwards on the penalty kill was Chad LaRose, who only had a total of 23 blocks to go along with his team worst -21.  That might be one way LaRose could help step up his defense on a personal level, learn to be a better shot blocker. 

The Hurricanes are in a bit of a pickle because as one of the lightest and smallest teams in the league, they seem built for an open, fast skating game.  On the other hand, it's a no-brainer that they need to reduce their shots against totals next season.  Can they be successful in a more conservative, slower grinding game? 

The blueline should have a familiar look next season.  Gleason(-11), Corvo(-14), McBain(-8), and Allen(+4) are already under contract, and Joslin(+7) and Harrison(+5) are expected to return.  There will probably be just one new body as a replacement for Pitkanen is brought in, (if he is not re-signed). 

Will new assistant coach Dave Lewis be able to improve them? 

(In case you missed it, check out "What Went Wrong, Part One: The Powerplay"

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This is a great discussion, thanks for posting, Bob

I can’t quite figure out why JR blamed the style of play when, IMHO, through certain chunks of the season we WERE playing it close-to-the-vest and not really wide open. Additionally, with the personnel we had, we weren’t built for anything BUT a more wide open game. It comes down to a mix of personnel, style of play, and whether or not the entire team is buying into what the coaches are selling — that goes for forwards as well as D-men.

What nobody can dispute is that Cam had an OUTSTANDING season, especially seeing how he was left out to dry numerous times and the quality of the shots he was facing were top-notch. He is a beast, and deserves at least two new, rough-and-tumble D-men to clear out the crease this season.

"We've got to look at this," Columbus general manager Scott Howson said Monday after exit interviews with the players. "Because whatever we have right now isn't working."

by Sergeant Stinky on Jun 13, 2011 11:58 AM EDT reply actions  

Excellent article. So how do you explain Canes' personnel strategy?

Great analysis, Bob.

Starting with preseason last year, we heard PM talk about the importance of winning puck battles. The Canes couldn’t do that often enough. The Canes’ system has not been drafting many players who are big enough to win puck battles regularly. There’s a disconnect between the players drafted and the way PM and JR want the Canes to play.

There are two ways to fix that. The first is to get players who have a better chance of success with PM’s preferred approach. Draft big physical forwards and big physical defensemen. The second way is to get a coach who fits the personnel drafted over the past several years—small, quick forwards who won’t win many puck battles and smallish puck-moving defensemen who can outmaneuver the other team but not knock them off the puck.

Urging the little guys to win more puck battles hasn’t worked. The Canes get pushed around in both zones.

Nashville provides one model the Canes could follow. They draft one good defenseman after another and many of their top picks are big defensemen, like Weber and Suter. Their coach and GM both want to play a defensive game and that suits the personnel that they draft. If PM stays, I think the Canes would be best off—in the sense of winning more games—emulating Nashville. But that will require trading 90% of the prospects in the system for a different kind of player, or else waiting years for a new crop of big physical players to mature, assuming the Canes draft a couple.

The other model is to go with a head coach whose style is better suited to the players in the system – a style closer to Peter Laviolette’s than PM’s. It isn’t hard to see that JR is extremely uncomfortable with a Laviolette-like style even though it won him his one and only Stanley Cup. When JR zeroed in on the Canes’ playing a game that’s “too open,” he confirmed that.

On the other hand, JR said the team got bigger a couple of years ago and got worse, as though JR now sees size as a negative. Well, what does JR want? He keeps drafting small, fast forwards and puck-moving defensemen but he complains about playing an open system and prefers a head coach who wants to play a close-to-the-vest defensive game predicated on winning puck battles.

So why are Bartschi and Beaulieu the first two draft prospects profiled on the Canes’ web site this year, a 175-pound forward and a skinny puck-moving defenseman? Why is Jason Karmanos at pains to say that size is not an issue with Bartschi because he’s “thick.” How thick can you be at 175? Is Bartschi going to be the power forward to complement Skinner, Boychuk, LaRose, Dwyer, Dalpe and perhaps someday Terry and Shugg? If Cole goes, is Bartschi the replacement?

 

by curiouscanesfan on Jun 13, 2011 12:50 PM EDT reply actions  

I think more blocked shots is a slippery slope. I’m not sure I want most of my forwards blocking shots, especially in this system that relies so heavily on offense. Ideally the defense plays up a little more and the need to block shots diminishes to the point where the minute amount of shots that the forwards do block, is sufficient.

Satan is just a coping mechanism for monotheists.

by wilmnoca on Jun 13, 2011 1:38 PM EDT reply actions  

agree in part about forwards blocking shots too much, but Ward allowed some goals from long range and perhaps the forwards should do a better job of getting in the shooting lanes to block some of those longer shots. But you are right, you don’t want to neuter the better scorers into not thinking about offense at all.

Editing Manager of Canes Country.com

by Bob Wage on Jun 13, 2011 9:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yep...it is a difficult picture to keep looking at.

Mr. Wage,
Your article is very revealing and discouraging. The assertion that the Canes had the worst defense in the league last year is correct. The play of Gleason was just horrible and he clearly was hurt all season. When your shut down guy is that bad, the rest of the dominos must fall too. The whole concept of team defense just seemed to be gone. The best part of your article was the focus on faceoffs. That stat alone is very telling. If you don’t get the puck, your team is playing defense all the time. There are simply too many teams in the league who will punish you if you just let them skate around with the puck. They will pick you apart. The level of skill is amazing. Ten years ago, you could put a dump and run team out there, now it is a death sentence. The passing skill is so good and crisp, you may as well give the puck to the other team at center ice. They are that good.

In football, the defense that is busiest usually ends up losing. Hockey is no different. Time of possession is key. So, poor faceoff percentage translates to decreased time of possession which leads to your defense working too hard which leads to more scoring chance and so on….

To fix the team,

1) Make faceoffs a top priority now…. let the returning centers and forwards that it is the team’s top priority. They need strong forearms, strong hands and fast reaction times. Put it into your off season workouts.

2) Devise a new style that is based on the Detroit system. Possession off turnovers and hold onto the puck no matter what.

3) Team defense emphasis. Everyone needs to play a two way game like Brandon Sutter. You show video of what he is doing to all the players. The entire team needs to see him isolated. He is so positionally sound, everyone needs to position like Suts….

4) Power Play… It is hard to say why this area was just so bad…. I hate to say it but Ronnie may have not had a good feel for what to do on the PP. Sure he was great on it but he had freaky hand eye coordination when he played. I think high risk high reward may be in order on the PP. Go with your 5 most responsible forwards and be agressive. Make the opposition fear your PP. Clearly, the methodology of last season resulted in an insulting PP. With improvement in this area, the Canes are going to put a hurting on some teams.

5) Paul Maurice Rework. For PM to be here into the future, he is going to have to reinvent himself. He needs to look at the people he has and adjust his plan accordingly. We cannot redraft a whole new organization. He must utilize the team’s strengths. If not, he is gone.

6) Develop, Develop, Develop…. teaching the way you want them to play. PM needs to be the greatest teacher in the league. I hear about how great at drafting this team or that team is. It is not just drafting well. You have to develop that talent. How many failed draft picks are a result of an organization not the player?

My two cents….

by KenRab on Jun 13, 2011 1:42 PM EDT reply actions  

Shots versus Scoring Chances

This may be a dumb question….what is the difference….I realize shots are between the posts and I assume a scoring chance is a subset of a shot….Is it a shot from point blank range?

Desperation from Day One......let's not wait until the end!

by Mullett on Jun 13, 2011 2:12 PM EDT reply actions  

thank you

In someways the shots on goal statistic can be misleading. However we all agree the ’Canes need to do a better job in front of Cam reducing shots and scoring chances.

Desperation from Day One......let's not wait until the end!

by Mullett on Jun 13, 2011 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nice article

Ok, you have covered most of the problems with the defense—and they tend to come down to gaining and keeping the puck. Face-off wins, puck possession, takeaways, physically seperating the other team from the puck all involve keeping or getting the puck. You’re right, when we have it they can’t score. Yet two of Mo’s favorite techniques all year was to dump the puck in the offensive zone, or just chip it out when in the defensive zone—both of which usually just gave the puck back to the other team.

As mentioned, everyone here laments our team size, the lack of anyone over 220 for most of the year (Allen is it now). Which hurts—most teams have multiple 220 plus forward and defensemen—we have none. Tough to win battles with LaRose, Dwyer, Skinner, Samsonov all light wieghts. Same for defensemen. We gave up far too much ofensive zone time.

But a lot of the problem is coaching—we’re built one way, Mo coaches another. I often wonder if his riding the top lines and top forwards with high ice time and long shifts accounts for a lot of the forwards not getting back or skating off instead of hustling back on defense like the better teams do….

Lastly, I think you missed one area:

6. Talent The Canes had one rookie, who we hoped for more from after only 10 games last year: McBain. Was one of the weakest defenders on the team. Often positionally bad. Did improve, but needs a lot of off-season strength work and work with Glen of better defensive posistion. We had only one shutdown defender (until the end) Gleason. Sub Par year, did not play well all season, and needs to return to form, regain some more size and physical play. We had Pitkanen and Corvo as puck moving defensement. Both OK, but… Corvo, better than expected, was dependable, but definitely not a shutdown guy. If Gleason had held his own this year, this pairing cooulc have been something. Gleason actually was the weaker defender on this pairing this year. Can’t expect much more from Corvo, but he’s a good puck mover. Pitkanen? Enigma. Good, Bad, indifferent, perplexing, and capable. But, not dependable. Far too many gaffes, less physical this year, poor decisions, and caught just watching far too often. Has a good shot but has to be horsewhipped to use it, almost never let’s go a one timer. Didn’t do us any favors on the defensive side, didn’t do enough offensively to make up for those flaws. Harrison, was dependable as a #6 Dman, and filled his role—not spectacular, but not depressing either. Babchuck and White—fillers. Two way Dmen, not great defensively, were adequate for us, but neither was a big loss nor filled a need. Allen brought size and crease clearing. He improved us by lowering quality chances against. As advertised he brought a few dumb penalties, but he filled a need, and is a good addition, but not an adequate addition. Joslin brought good physicality, puck moving and occasional offensive flair. Shows promise but showed some young, raw mistakes. Was overall a very pleasant addition. Could easily project to be a Gleason type (#3/4 Defenseman) with a little more offensive upside and he fills a need if we develop him right. Overall we suffered most of the year without a tre #1/2 shut dwon defensman. I thought we suffered from bad coaching decisions in the pairings especially when Pitkanen and McBain were together (Rookie/Offensive Dman—who do we depend on in our own zone?) We also suffered from no-one working with Pitkanen well. We may miss his puck moving and passing, but our back end could be better by subtraction if we can get pairings to develop chemistry… Overall I’d rate our defensive talent as below average.

Yet I feel the other factor mentioned #1-5 weighed in as larger factors than overall lack of talent…

by Squeaky83 on Jun 13, 2011 3:24 PM EDT reply actions  

What Went Wrong

 It was apparent going into the season that the Hurricanes needed to have a successful power play in order to make the playoffs. The power play was abysmal much of the year. The defense was a work in progress and was much better at the season’s end. Gleason’s injury really hurt the Hurricanes’ chances because he is a central shut down defenseman. Allen’s acquisition and the acquisition of Joslin added a burly factor to the defense that was desperately needed. Still, the fact is too often the Hurricanes forwards get shoved around by the bigger teams. Also for much of the season, the Hurricanes forwards had mixed identities. Samsonov was not fast but was shifty and he was anything but physical. Stillman/Staal/Cole had two fast players and a non-fast, wizard with the puck. LaRose was misused much of the year by being used in the top six.

   This next season, bringing up Dalpe and either or both of Boychuk and Bowman will add to team speed and offensive prowess. In the end, the Hurricanes organization has to have a team style that fits the players the Hurricanes have. If as some are predicting Pitkanen and Jokinen will sign elsewhere, it is going to be a challenge this coming season to have a team where there is congruity between the style of play the Hurricanes organization wants and the Hurricanes players. The 2011 draft is going to be a crossroads whether a forward or a defenseman is selected as the #12 pick.

by abramsdoug on Jun 13, 2011 3:29 PM EDT reply actions  

I have Concerns

I think Dalpe has a big upside but I’m not totally sold on Bowman and Boychuk. If we lose Jussi, Stillman, & Pitkanen off a team one win out of the playoffs and do not find suitable replacements, I’m afraid we will not be any closer to the playoffs and will have wasted another one of the prime years of Cam and Staal.

Desperation from Day One......let's not wait until the end!

by Mullett on Jun 13, 2011 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

It will make a huge difference whether the Canes are adding Dalpe to a team with Cole and Jokinen or replacing Cole and Jokinen with Dalpe and Boychuk or another prospect. We have no reason to expect anything but a step backward if the prospects are replacements for key veterans and downgrades in size when team size is already a critical issue, as Bob showed conclusively.

All the prospects are unknowns. We know almost nothing about Dalpe as an NHL player. He played less than 120 minutes on the season. We have to question whether Bowman can score. It’s hardly a fair assessment, but 1 assist in 225 minutes of play is scary bad, and Bowman was the number 10 scorer on the Checkers. He’s not going to help replace the Canes’ number 4 and 5 scorers. Even though Boychuk had a terrific year in the AHL, we have to question how a team as small as the Canes can add another very small player and how Boychuk can ever fit into PM’s playing style that’s premised on winning puck battles given the lack of size on the rest of the roster. In terms of talent level, Boychuk and Dalpe are probably both good enough to perform well in the NHL, but only Dalpe seems big enough to improve puck possession much. That’s assuming Dalpe is joining a team with Cole and Jokinen, not a team that’s losing 2 of its top 5 forwards, both of whom are a little bigger than Dalpe.

by curiouscanesfan on Jun 13, 2011 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Get B. Richards

Personally I would dump, Jussi/Stillman/Cole/Joni P if we could sign B. Richards.

Richards would be a #1 Centerman playing on our #2 line. Granted not having Jussi/Stillman/Cole/Joni P – to a lesser extent would hurt but to get a player of Richards caliber would be great, HOWEVER ALL THIS ABOVE IS HIGH UNLIKELY.

So with the #12 selection in the NHL Entry Draft 2011 Hurricanes select – Forward/Offense.

Sorry but I don’t JR dropping his ideals in this draft and he doesn’t like drafting defensemen no matter how much of a need they are.

So with that said we already know our depth chart somewhat:

Defense #1 – T. Gleason / J. Corvo
                #2 – McBain / Allen
                #3 – Joslin / TBD

Jay Harrison could be resigned but still he is nothing more then a #3 defenseman whom played way over his head a year ago with good stats and physical play Canes fans shouldn’t expect anything close to that next year.

Really we need a backup goalie (Come save us and Wardo Alex Auld), Third line defenseman, Fourth Line Centerman and that is about it, provided that E. Cole, C.LaRose, and either Jussi or Stillman are resigned.

Go Canes.

by Holty_Panthers_Fan on Jun 13, 2011 5:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Gleason/Corvo is barely a solid 2nd pairing on most Cup contenders. McBain/Allen is barely a solid 3rd pairing on most Cup contenders. This is what I see our biggest issue being. We need a whole top D pairing before we are entering the consistent Playoff picture.

Agreed with the giving up Stillman/Cole/LaRose for Richards though, if it was possible.

by JussiJuice on Jun 13, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good points. Watching Chara/Seidenberg and what they do to the twins makes me realize how far away our D is from really being solid.

"We've got to look at this," Columbus general manager Scott Howson said Monday after exit interviews with the players. "Because whatever we have right now isn't working."

by Sergeant Stinky on Jun 14, 2011 8:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Didn’t we have that Seidenberg guy but we were too cheap to keep him??? JR—hello—see a pattern? Pay to keep jussi please—and other players worth a modest raise.

by Squeaky83 on Jun 14, 2011 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Team Defense; Keeping Jokinen

It’s more than just saying Seidenberg suddenly blossomed into a world class defenseman. He’s been playing great without question; but he is also on a team of very sound players. Chara is a beast and may be one of the best defensemen to play in the NHL. The Bruins have forwards who play solid defense and who are physical for the most part. I would re-sign Cole and Jokinen even if it meant not re-signing LaRose and Stillman. I agree there comes a time where saving money up front is far more expensive in the short run and in the long run. I would merely point out that at the time many people felt Aaron Ward was a substantially better defenseman than Seidenberg. Comparing their resumes at the time Aaron Ward’s pedigree was outstanding. Sometimes the magic just isn’t there; and I don’t think it is accurate to say it was a matter of money. JIm Rutherford thought he was getting an experienced defenseman who would be a valuable asset to the team for several years; instead, Aaron Ward’s shadow signed and came to play.

by abramsdoug on Jun 14, 2011 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Whenever people like to point out how well Seidenberg is doing as Chara’s partner I like to point out that Aaron Ward was his partner the last time he won the Norris, and we picked him up that off season.

How’d that work out?

by Iggy Reilly on Jun 14, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Seidenberg was pretty solid when he was here. He led the team in 2008-09 with 160 blocked shots and was one of the league leaders in that category. (In comparison, Gleason had a team high 142 this past season) He also played a physical game and could chip in on the powerplay. He was not a first pairing guy yet though.

In the 2009 playoffs, he played over 22 minutes a game on the blueline for the Canes.

Editing Manager of Canes Country.com

by Bob Wage on Jun 14, 2011 10:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

I definitely wish we still had Seidenberg, but pairing anyone with Chara will go a long way towards covering up their weaknesses.

by Iggy Reilly on Jun 14, 2011 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

When Seidenberg was with the Canes, he was great when he was great; but at times he would make some dubious decisions worthy of Pitkanen when he is on Planet Joni. I thought there was a risk he’d be a “’tweener” – a guy not big enough to be physical and not offensively gifted enough to be a puck moving defenseman. He’s be excellent for Boston. Whether he’d have been as good for the Hurricanes is another question. He’s been impressive in the playoffs, no doubt about that.

by abramsdoug on Jun 14, 2011 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

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