FanPost

Ranking All Hockey Fanchises: Playoff and Regular Season Performance Last 10 Years

Little did I know what it would take to look at franchise performance when I began this effort in mid-February. You can review that earlier post here because this fan post will attempt to build on that earlier one. That earlier post dealt with regular season performance for the last 10 years of all NHL franchises. This post is only dealing with playoff performance over that same period of time for all NHL franchises. Remember, my original objective was to find something easy to understand but yet logically sound. When I got to the end of this effort I realized I could look at both playoffs and regular season.

The playoff structure does not lend itself to an easy comparison of team performance since every team climbs a pyramid that only leaves one winner. One could say every team who did not win the Stanley Cup is a loser. Although technically true it is certainly not fair to teams who did achieve some success within the playoff structure. Many complicated calculations are possible to force rank the teams who made the playoffs but I selected a fairly simple measure which ranks according to the number of playoff wins a team achieves after it reaches the playoffs. It is an elegant measure because it gives ultimate credit to the Stanley Cup winner (16 wins) but gives no credit to those who made the playoffs but won no games in the first round. Credit is extended in the increments as teams achieve wins. The chart below provides a comparison over ten years and calculated the average number of wins in the extreme right hand column marked AvgRK . The average is a 10 year average even if a year had a zero wins. In this chart the teams are already forced ranked using the AvgRK column and the higher the number the higher the average number of playoff wins over this 10 year window.




Play Off Wins Over 10 Year Period



2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 AvgRK
Detroit 2 16 0 6 2 10 16 15 5 7 7.90
San Jose 2 7 0 10 6 6 6 2 8 9 5.60
Ducks 0 0 15 0 9 16 2 7 0 2 5.10
Philly 2 1 6 11 2 0 9 2 14 4 5.10
Pitts 9 0 0 0 0 1 14 16 7 3 5.00
NJ 15 2 16 1 5 5 1 3 1 0 4.90
Colorado 16 11 3 6 4 0 4 0 2 0 4.60
Vancouver 0 2 7 3 0 5 0 6 6 15 4.40
Ottawa 0 7 11 3 5 13 0 0 2 0 4.10
Carolina 2 13 0 0 16 0 0 8 0 0 3.90
Boston 0 2 1 3 0 0 3 7 7 16 3.90
TB Bolts 0 0 5 16 1 2 0 0 0 11 3.50
Buffalo 7 0 0 0 11 9 0 0 2 3 3.20
Chicago 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 16 3 2.90
Montréal 0 6 0 4 2 0 5 0 9 3 2.90
Toronto 7 10 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.60
Calgary 0 0 0 15 3 2 3 2 0 0 2.50
Dallas 4 0 6 1 1 3 10 0 0 0 2.50
Wash. 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 7 3 4 2.10
Edmonton 2 0 2 0 15 0 0 0 0 0 1.90
St Louis 9 5 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.80
Rangers 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 3 0 1 1.50
LA 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1.40
Nashville 0 0 0 2 1 1 2 0 2 6 1.40
Minn. 0 0 8 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1.10
Islanders 0 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.60
Phoenix 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0.40
Atlanta 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
Columbus 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

Hurricanes Observation:

The Carolina Hurricanes have had a really good decade (from the 2000-01 until 2010-11 seasons) in the playoffs ranking 10th overall in the average number of wins and much higher than some teams who have done well over the last several years. Although the Hurricanes have a hard time getting through the regular season compared to other teams once they get into the playoffs they do much better than most teams.

Since a forced ranking for the regular season has been done and a forced ranking of the playoffs has now been done it is possible to merge these two results to look at relative performance of all franchises for both the regular season and playoffs. I decided to give equal weight to both regular season and the playoffs. I have no logic other than it appears teams "value" the playoffs in ticket prices at about the same level as the regular season. In other words you pay about the same for all playoff tickets to the Cup round than you do for the entire regular season. I guess there are valid arguments to split the value of regular season verse playoffs at other percentages like 40%-60% but that did not seem to be appropriate. However, if you are of mind, these numbers can be cut easily to accommodate your different perspective. That chart is below:

SUMMARY
Overall Force Rank Rank Regular Season Rank Play Off Average Rank
1 Detroit 1 1 1.0
2 San Jose 2 2 2.0
3 NJ 3 6 4.5
4 Philly 5 4 4.5
5 Vancouver 4 8 6.0
6 Ottawa 6 9 7.5
7 Ducks 12 3 7.5
8 Colorado 9 7 8.0
9 Boston 8 11 9.5
10 Pitts 15 5 10.0
11 Buffalo 10 13 11.5
12 Dallas 7 18 12.5
13 Wash. 11 19 15.0
14 Calgary 14 17 15.5
15 Montréal 16 15 15.5
16 Carolina 21 10 15.5
17 Chicago 19 14 16.5
18 Toronto 18 16 17.0
19 Nashville 13 24 18.5
20 TB Bolts 25 12 18.5
21 St Louis 17 21 19.0
22 Rangers 20 22 21.0
23 LA 23 23 23.0
24 Edmonton 26 20 23.0
25 Minn. 22 25 23.5
26 Phoenix 24 27 25.5
27 Islanders 27 26 26.5
28 Atlanta 28 28 28.0
29 Florida 29 29 29.0
30 Columbus 30 30 30.0

Summary

Overall, the Carolina Hurricanes rank 16th out of 30 franchises in their regular season and playoff performances over the last 10 years based on this simple view. Some would say that is better than they thought. Others would say you pay for what you get and then others would say the Canes franchise has achieved more than was expected based on what was spent. Those answers depends on the priorities of the person asking the question and their own personal philosophies. There are no smoking guns here but there are some positives as well as negatives on what this means. The past is what they did and the future can be vastly different than the past just based on applying different progressive or restrictive philosophies on franchise management.

I actually started this with a fan post on whether spending by a franchise can buy a Stanley Cup. You can find that fan post here. I am still not sure if I can even bridge from this information back to revenues. It is still of interest to me but there are still very large obstacles that have to be overcome in order to do that.

I hope this exercise provides a little more information for you.

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